Last night the tooth-ache woke me up at 1:30am, a dab of clove oil gave me a decent night’s sleep again.
83 new cases = 451 as of 1pm.
This morning I posted this message on Neighbourly
Don't expect things to be back to normal in 4 weeks. Just looking at the facts so far, the graph shows the numbers doubling every week. At this rate in a month there will be 8 million cases and 400 000 deaths - and that will double each week, 130 million the next month with 6 million deaths. Of course there are many variables and the end result may not be as bad, or much worse actually because it has only just begun to hit Africa and poverty stricken areas and they aren't doing a proper lockdown. My family say that back in South Africa they just started their "3 week lockdown" and the roads are still bustling with taxi drivers with Hiace vans packed to capacity, and in the poverty stricken areas the people can't afford to stockpile while they share toilets, and must use public transport. IF we can get control of this in maybe two months and shut our borders to keep it out the rest of the world, with the large continents, will be hit by waves back and forth for many months, more than a year most likely. I'm afraid Americas statement to "hope to have it locked down by Easter Sunday" may refer to 2021.
Have a look at the map
The dots are just starting to grow in Africa where many already live in poverty and must use public transport to buy their daily needs. It sounds like a pretty pointless exercise for them to have 21 days of lockdown while still allowing public transport. The taxis alternate between taking loads of essential workers to the city and then casual passengers back and forth - that’s one way to ensure the virus spreads and draws out the situation even longer while more people die of starvation. It actually makes one wonder whether they should just let it run its course, spread it as much as possible, and be done with it in a few months rather than drag it out for a year and have more people dying of starvation than the virus.
Research suggests it could possibly live in the freezer for up to two years which would mean that even though a country may reach a stage of having now cases, it could re-surface a year later when someone defrosts that extra roast they bought for the lockdown.